Ted Cruz can unite the Republican Party and defeat Hillary Clinton in a General Election, and that’s exactly what he’s going to do.
Senator Rubio and Governor Kasich have run, in their own ways, surprisingly good campaigns, but neither look likely to win their home states, nor enough delegates to be a threat to front runner Donald Trump. Rubio and Kasich may be gluttons for disappointment and are likely to stay in the race through March 15th, ensuring victories for Trump in Ohio, North Carolina, and Florida. On the night of March 15th, Senator Rubio and Governor Kasich will both drop out of the race and it all comes down to Senator Ted Cruz and Donald Trump. There are too many winner take all states ahead of us for Romney’s anyone-but-Trump strategy to work with four candidates.
Currently, Donald Trump has 462 delegates. If he sweeps the March 15th primaries, he’ll have 829 delegates, just 408 delegates away from the 1237 he needs to win the nomination outright. However, with Kasich and Rubio likely out of the race, Cruz has a very real chance to win the vast majority of the remaining States, including New York and California. There are over 300 delegates available on June 7th and this primary season will likely be decided then and there.
This election will come down to a contest between populism and constitutionalism. No one can better defend the virtues, principles, and importance of a Constitutional Republic better than Ted Cruz. I believe we will see a rapid acceptance of Cruz as the anti-Trump candidate, but this will simply serve as an opportunity for Senator Cruz to make his case to the American People for a more responsible and constitutional government. This is a message, I believe, the American people will want to hear.
The current state of the Republican Party is this – Donald Trump and Senator Ted Cruz, two men who are viewed as anti-establishment, represent to Republican voters two very different and distinct alternatives to business as usual. Donald Trump seems to have taken on the progressive populism of Republican legend Theodore Roosevelt, while Ted Cruz is heir to the Reagan legacy. The question as to the future direction of the Republican Party is without consensus. We will see which direction the conservative base decides to go.
Like Senator Cruz, I hope that this does not come down to a brokered and bloody convention. A brokered convention could destroy whatever faith the conservative base has left in the Republican Party as a whole. Who knows how wounded the candidates and the party would be coming out of such a difficult spectacle?
On March 16th, Donald Trump will call for the Republican Party to rally around his candidacy – and with such an imposing lead, who could possibly blame him?
On March 16th, Senator Cruz will call for the Republican Party to rally around his candidacy, as the only candidate capable of defeating Donald Trump and the one most likely to defeat Hillary Clinton (which is, of course, of paramount concern).
I will not be surprised by any outcome. If this campaign has taught us anything, it has been that we ought not make predictions, nor trust that tomorrow will have anything to do with today. It is already clear to me, however, that this is a two man race and that all Republicans (and many of our Democrat friends who’ve been voting in our open primaries) have an opportunity to decide the direction of the Republican Party for the next decade. I believe that the Senator will reach 1237 first, that he’ll unite the party, and that he will be the next President of the United States of America, because I still have faith in the American People and in republican voters to make an informed and measured decision regarding their future.